Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pachuca in this match.
