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Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Sep 1, 2024 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
4 - 1
America

Giakoumakis (44'), Sepulveda (45+3'), Gutierrez (79'), Faravelli (90')
Romo (39'), Lira (62'), Rotondi (63'), Anselmi (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (18')
Malagon (34'), dos Santos (53'), Araujo (71')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, August 24 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-1 Puebla
Sunday, August 25 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Club America had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawClub America
43.69% (0.32400000000001 0.32) 24.91% (0.291 0.29) 31.4% (-0.617 -0.62)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-1.281 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (-1.554 -1.55)46.45% (1.55 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (-1.476 -1.48)68.73% (1.474 1.47)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.504 -0.5)21.29% (0.501 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (-0.785 -0.78)54.23% (0.782 0.78)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-1.161 -1.16)27.97% (1.158 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-1.501 -1.5)63.61% (1.499 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 43.69%
    Club America 31.4%
    Draw 24.9%
Cruz AzulDrawClub America
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.456 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.381 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, August 24 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, August 24 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Mazatlan (1-3 pen.)
Wednesday, August 14 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Cruz Azul (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cruz Azul (3-5 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Cruz Azul (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: America 0-1 Puebla
Sunday, August 25 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Colorado (8-9 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 3am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: America 4-2 St Louis City
Wednesday, August 14 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: America 2-1 Atlas
Saturday, August 10 at 3am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: America 1-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1


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