Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result |
Puebla | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
37.35% ( -0.01) | 27.11% ( 0) | 35.54% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.55% ( -0) |