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Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
1 - 1
Guadalajara

Puebla win 5-4 on penalties
Barragan (58')
Silva (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cisneros (90+6')
Sepulveda (66'), Ormeno (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, October 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
37.35% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 27.11% (0.00099999999999767 0) 35.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 50.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.12% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)28.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.09% (0.0040000000000049 0)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55%29.45% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55%65.45% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 37.35%
    CD Guadalajara 35.53%
    Draw 27.1%
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, October 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-1 Pumas
Saturday, September 24 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-1 Tigres
Saturday, September 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Pachuca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Puebla
Friday, September 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: America 2-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-4 Tigres
Wednesday, September 14 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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