Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
2.65) 
-0.2) 
