Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Aug 3, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
41.4% ( 2.29) | 25.18% ( -0.54) | 33.42% ( -1.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 1.48) |
| 53.03% ( 2.08) | 46.98% ( -2.07) |
| 30.78% ( 1.91) | 69.22% ( -1.9) |
| 77.41% ( 2.08) | 22.6% ( -2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.8% ( 3) | 56.2% ( -3) |
| 73.05% ( -0.06) | 26.95% ( 0.06) |
