Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 24, 2022 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Azteca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Puebla.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result |
Cruz Azul | Draw | Puebla |
47.85% ( 0.81) | 25.87% ( 0.17) | 26.28% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.28) |
46.79% ( -1.3) | 53.21% ( 1.3) |
25.23% ( -1.11) | 74.77% ( 1.11) |
77.75% ( -0.18) | 22.25% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -0.27) | 55.68% ( 0.27) |
64.75% ( -1.49) | 35.25% ( 1.49) |