Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 23, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
FT(HT: 1-0)
Acosta (45+1'),
Salas (70')
Acosta (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Juarez.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.
Result |
Necaxa | Draw | Juarez |
54.79% ( -0.22) | 26.39% ( 0.22) | 18.81% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 40.66% ( -0.54) |
38.52% ( -0.71) | 61.47% ( 0.71) |
18.65% ( -0.53) | 81.35% ( 0.53) |
77.31% ( -0.39) | 22.69% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% ( -0.59) | 56.34% ( 0.59) |
52.59% ( -0.43) | 47.41% ( 0.43) |