Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
