Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
36.4% ( 0.23)	26.26% ( 0.09)	37.34% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 53.35% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

-0.4)

51.29% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

-0.35)

73.12% (

0.35)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.06)

27.23% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.08)

62.65% (

0.08)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0.37)

26.69% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0.49)

61.94% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Pumas 36.4%

Pachuca 37.34%

Draw 26.25%

Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.4%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.34%