Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Atletico San Luis
57.97% ( 0.1)	21.91% ( -0.03)	20.12% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.46% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15% (

0.02)

42.84% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.75% (

0.02)

65.25% (

-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

0.04)

14.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.48% (

0.08)

42.52% (

-0.08)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

-0.06)

35.12% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12% (

-0.07)

71.87% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Toluca 57.97%

Atletico San Luis 20.12%

Draw 21.91%

Toluca	Draw	Atletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 57.97%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.91%	1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.12%