Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
