Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
51.49% ( -1.48)	25.02% ( 0.55)	23.49% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 50.2% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

-1.29)

52.07% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

-1.13)

73.8% (

1.13)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.77% (

-1.1)

20.22% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.45% (

-1.78)

52.54% (

1.78)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93% (

0.15)

37.07% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

0.15)

73.85% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 51.49%

Toluca 23.49%

Draw 25.02%

Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.49%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.73% Total : 23.49%