Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 2, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
51.49% ( -1.48) | 25.02% ( 0.55) | 23.49% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( -0.57) |
| 47.92% ( -1.29) | 52.07% ( 1.29) |
| 26.2% ( -1.13) | 73.8% ( 1.13) |
| 79.77% ( -1.1) | 20.22% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.45% ( -1.78) | 52.54% ( 1.78) |
| 62.93% ( 0.15) | 37.07% ( -0.15) |
