Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Necaxa
44.4% ( 0.34)	24.66% ( -0.07)	30.93% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44% (

0.2)

45.55% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.12% (

0.19)

67.88% (

-0.19)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

0.24)

20.6% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

0.37)

53.15% (

-0.37)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

-0.08)

27.83% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-0.1)

63.43% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Puebla 44.4%

Necaxa 30.93%

Draw 24.66%

Puebla	Draw	Necaxa
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.4%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.93%