Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.