Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
0.71) 
-0.54) 
