Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club Leon
44.37% ( -0.79)	24.65% ( -0.06)	30.97% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

0.69)

45.48% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

0.65)

67.81% (

-0.65)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

-0.06)

20.58% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88% (

-0.1)

53.12% (

0.1)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

0.91)

27.77% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

1.15)

63.35% (

-1.15)

Score Analysis

Toluca 44.37%

Club Leon 30.97%

Draw 24.65%

Toluca	Draw	Club Leon
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.37%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.97%