Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.79) 
0.85) 
