Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
-0.92) 
0.95) 
