Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 4, 2022 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Monterrey.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Monterrey |
39.64% ( 0.02) | 27.26% ( -0.03) | 33.11% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.09) |
| 44.3% ( 0.11) | 55.7% ( -0.11) |
| 23.16% ( 0.09) | 76.84% ( -0.09) |
| 72.54% ( 0.06) | 27.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.05% ( 0.09) | 62.95% ( -0.08) |
| 68.54% ( 0.07) | 31.46% ( -0.06) |
