Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.07%) and 3-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monterrey in this match.
