Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
