Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.