Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
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