Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club Leon	Draw	Santos Laguna
54.49% ( 0.05)	21.76% ( -0)	23.75% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.31% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.46% (

-0.03)

37.53% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.23% (

-0.03)

59.76% (

0.03)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

13.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.83% (

0.01)

41.17% (

-0.01)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

-0.05)

28.85% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

-0.06)

64.72% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Club Leon 54.49%

Santos Laguna 23.75%

Draw 21.76%

Club Leon	Draw	Santos Laguna
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.49%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 23.75%