Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
2.78) 
-0.65) 
