Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.05) 
