Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 12.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
