Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
-0.45) 
0.06) 
