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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 2
Toluca

Huerta (31' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
Baeza (36')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 America
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
57.18% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.44% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.122 0.12)49.97% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.108 0.11)71.95% (-0.111 -0.11)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)47.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.178 0.18)39.95% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (0.162 0.16)76.6% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 57.18%
    Toluca 19.44%
    Draw 23.37%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.44%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Guadalajara
Saturday, January 14 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, January 8 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Guadalajara (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, October 9 at 10.30pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: America 2-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 America
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 3-1 Toluca
Monday, October 31 at 1.36am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-5 Pachuca
Friday, October 28 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 America
Thursday, October 20 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-2 Toluca
Monday, October 17 at 1.06am in Liga MX


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