SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
29.32% ( -0.55) | 28.92% ( -0.35) | 41.75% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 43.75% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.43% ( 0.94) | 62.57% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% ( 0.68) | 82.15% ( -0.68) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( 0.09) | 37.87% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.35% ( 0.08) | 74.64% ( -0.08) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.98) | 29.58% ( -0.98) |
