Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.28%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.