Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 23, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Santos Laguna |
33.37% ( -0.7) | 25.97% ( 0.04) | 40.65% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.3) |
| 49.54% ( -0.31) | 50.46% ( 0.31) |
| 27.61% ( -0.28) | 72.39% ( 0.28) |
| 71.32% ( -0.59) | 28.67% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.51% ( -0.75) | 64.49% ( 0.75) |
| 75.49% ( 0.2) | 24.51% ( -0.2) |
