Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Atlas
62.66% ( 0.04)	21.16% ( -0.01)	16.18% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.16% (

0.01)

45.83% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.85% (

0.01)

68.15% (

-0.01)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.97% (

0.01)

14.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.42% (

0.03)

41.57% (

-0.03)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.63% (

-0.03)

41.37% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.11% (

-0.02)

77.88% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Toluca 62.65%

Atlas 16.18%

Draw 21.15%

Toluca	Draw	Atlas
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 62.65%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.15%	0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.18%