Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
62.66% ( 0.04) | 21.16% ( -0.01) | 16.18% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.02) |
| 54.16% ( 0.01) | 45.83% ( -0.01) |
| 31.85% ( 0.01) | 68.15% ( -0.01) |
| 85.97% ( 0.01) | 14.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.42% ( 0.03) | 41.57% ( -0.03) |
| 58.63% ( -0.03) | 41.37% ( 0.03) |
