Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result |
Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
26.59% ( 1.55) | 23.08% ( 0.74) | 50.33% ( -2.29) |
Both teams to score 59.68% ( -1.06) |
58.96% ( -2.09) | 41.04% ( 2.08) |
36.57% ( -2.16) | 63.43% ( 2.16) |
71.44% ( 0.06) | 28.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% ( 0.07) | 64.34% ( -0.08) |
83.54% ( -1.55) | 16.46% ( 1.55) |