Toluca
2 - 2
Mazatlan

Gonzalez (9'), Sambueza (38' pen.)
Barbieri (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sanvezzo (32'), Emilio Sanchez Castillo (44')
Freitas (58'), Diaz (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
44.63%	24.97%	30.4%

Both teams to score 56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86%

47.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62%

69.37%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84%

21.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.98%

54.02%

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02%

28.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13%

64.87%

Score Analysis

Toluca 44.63%

Mazatlan 30.4%

Draw 24.96%

Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.63%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.4%