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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Aug 7, 2021 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
0 - 2
Toluca


Tercero (10'), Guzman (61'), Rak (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sambueza (11'), Lopez (80')
Baeza (65'), Castaneda (75'), Luis Vanegas Zuniga (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
45.21%27.34%27.45%
Both teams to score 46.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01%57.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32%78.68%
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55%60.45%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12%36.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34%73.66%
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 45.2%
    Toluca 27.45%
    Draw 27.33%
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 8.77%
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.45%

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