Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
