Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
53.95% ( -0.32) | 24.98% ( 0.14) | 21.07% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.38% ( -0.14) |
| 45.7% ( -0.31) | 54.3% ( 0.31) |
| 24.31% ( -0.26) | 75.69% ( 0.26) |
| 79.9% ( -0.25) | 20.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.65% ( -0.4) | 52.36% ( 0.4) |
| 59.3% ( 0.02) | 40.7% ( -0.02) |
