Despite their recent poor run of results, Angers will feel that they are capable of getting back on track against inconsistent opponents. However, Lens are seemingly back on an upward trajectory, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Angers had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
