Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
29.66% | 26.3% | 44.04% |
Both teams to score 51.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.97% | 53.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% | 74.62% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% | 32.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% | 69.05% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% | 23.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.04% |
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