We said: Lens 2-2 Marseille
Marseille have tended to win every other Ligue 1 match recently; a pattern which would set them up for a win here. However, they have not beaten Lens in any of their last three meetings - in fact, losing two of them - and will come up against a side high on confidence. All things considered, we are backing an entertaining draw on this occasion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
