Lyon are coming off perhaps their best collective effort of the campaign and have been a thorn in the side of Lens in the top flight, beating them 41 times, with only Monaco (45) handing them more defeats in Ligue 1.
While Les Sang et Or have a dynamic side with their share of scoring threats, they are not as well-structured and sharp both on and off the ball as L'OL, and we expect Lyon to find a way to destabilize and frustrate them on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
