Given the talent that they have brought through the door, expectations are high at Nice. Nevertheless, despite improvements likely to be around the corner, we feel that Marseille are a more united group right now and could prevail during the closing stages of an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Marseille
37.06% ( -0.06)	27.48% ( -0.2)	35.46% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.72% (

0.79)

56.28% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

0.64)

77.32% (

-0.64)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

0.35)

29.23% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.43)

65.18% (

-0.43)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

0.57)

30.22% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.67)

66.38% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Nice 37.06%

Marseille 35.46%

Draw 27.48%

Nice	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.06%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.46%