Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Lille | 5 | -2 | 7 |
9 | Auxerre | 5 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Nantes | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Lens | 5 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Lyon | 4 | 5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Marseille |
29.47% (![]() | 25.32% (![]() | 45.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.91% (![]() | 49.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% (![]() | 71.16% (![]() |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% (![]() | 30.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% (![]() | 66.85% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% (![]() | 21.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.13% (![]() | 54.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.47% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 10.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.21% |
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