Although Auxerre have avoided defeat in their opening two home games, we think that they will lose narrowly to a Marseille side who are aiming to clinch a fourth consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Marseille
29.47% ( 1.71)	25.32% ( -0.06)	45.21% ( -1.65)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.91% (

1.18)

49.09% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84% (

1.06)

71.16% (

-1.06)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

1.88)

30.61% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

2.17)

66.85% (

-2.17)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

-0.25)

21.71% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13% (

-0.38)

54.87% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 29.47%

Marseille 45.21%

Draw 25.31%

Auxerre	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.47%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.21%