Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
48.59% ( -0.02) | 25.47% ( 0.04) | 25.94% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.11% ( -0.16) | 51.89% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.36% ( -0.14) | 73.64% ( 0.14) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% ( -0.07) | 21.37% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.65% ( -0.11) | 54.35% ( 0.12) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.18% ( -0.1) | 34.82% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.45% ( -0.11) | 71.55% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.94% |
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