Monaco have been rather ropey in the last week, but they should be able to show off their credentials here against a struggling Ajaccio side.
The visitors are without a number of first-team players and are finding it difficult to score goals so it could be a long afternoon for the Corsican side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.09) 
