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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II
BL

Monaco
1 - 0
Brest

Golovin (54')
Ben Seghir (40'), Golovin (77'), Sarr (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fadiga (25'), Slimani (69'), Pereira Lage (76'), Lees-Melou (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Lyon
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Brest

Monaco's in-form forwards will be looking to fill their boots on their first outing of 2023, as their opening opponents of the new year are vulnerable at the back. Brest can cause problems for a home side which has defensive issues of their own, but will find the Monegasques' weight of attacking talent too much to withstand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
MonacoDrawBrest
60.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.39% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.9% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)65.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)13.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13%36.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.65%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 60.1%
    Brest 18.5%
    Draw 21.38%
MonacoDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.07%
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Leeds 2-4 Monaco
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, November 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Angers
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Lyon
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Brest
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 4-1 Brest
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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