A very evenly-matched contest, this is a top-of-the-table clash that could swing either way, with both sides boasting huge quality throughout.
Nonetheless, given Monaco's remarkable scoring streak, and Marseille's inconsistencies of late, we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
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