We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Monaco
PSG are struggling to convince the critics that they truly are a different beast this term, but Monaco have also had their own fair share of struggles this season, particularly away from home.
Pochettino will boast the fresher crop of players - despite Kovac's best efforts to give his big-hitters ample time to recover from Thursday's travails - and a near full-strength PSG side playing at their headquarters ought to pull through by a narrow margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
