We said: Monaco 2-0 Metz
The form of Metz may be improving - and their record on the road is not the worst - but we are backing Monaco to continue their recovery and pick up a valuable three points here. Kovac appears to be getting his players to believe again and, if they can build some momentum, last year showed what this squad is capable of.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
