Clermont are in much better form than their opponents coming into this clash, and we think they will follow up their draw with Nantes last weekend with a win here.
In addition, Montpellier's away record in recent weeks suggests they will not have much joy here.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
2.83) 
-0.42) 
