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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
M

Montpellier
0 - 2
Monaco


Esteve (11'), Jullien (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Henrique (26'), Badiashile (65'), Camara (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Monaco

Montpellier have the home advantage in this match, and that is something that could prove to be vital for them as they look to start climbing the league table. However, because Monaco are in stronger form at the moment, and are coming off the back of a big victory they will be the favourites to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
23.63% (-0.041 -0.04) 22.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 53.56% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)42.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.93% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)31.69% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 23.64%
    Monaco 53.56%
    Draw 22.8%
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 23.64%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 53.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Lille
Sunday, September 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-3 Monaco
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Ferencvaros
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Lyon
Sunday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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