Montpellier may have had a few days extra rest, but Rennes will still be regarded as the favourites for Sunday's contest.
The hosts have been scoring goals for fun in recent weeks and we expect their in-form attackers to have more joy in front of goal at the Roazhon Park, with a comfortable three points on the cards against a Montpellier side who are missing a number of key players.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 78.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Rennes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rennes.