While they have only captured one league fixture so far this season, Ajaccio have been unlucky on a couple of occasions in 2022-23, losing four matches by a single goal.
Clermont could be just the break L'ours need to finally win at home, as the visitors have been poor in the final third, while also being a little too complacent on the road throughout the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.27%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.06) 
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